May/June 2026 Paper 21

2026 · 5 questions · 24 parts · 90 marks

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Context for question 1

Source material: How high will Uruguay’s retirement age go?

Uruguay fact file2023
population3.5m
gross domestic product (GDP)$77.0bn
government revenue$10.7bn
government budget deficit$2.5bn
In 2023, the Uruguayan Government raised the retirement age from 60 to 65. There are concerns about the current high government spending on pensions and it is expected that life expectancy in the country will continue to rise. A higher retirement age will have an impact on the country’s labour force, with most workers employed in the tertiary sector.
The average age of Uruguay’s population is increasing due to a fall in the birth rate and emigration of young workers. Many Uruguayan workers emigrate to the United States (US) where wages are higher. However, income inequality is considerably lower in Uruguay than in the US. The tax system in Uruguay is more progressive than in the US, and the Uruguayan Government spends a higher percentage of GDP on education and healthcare.
In both Uruguay and the US, there is increasing demand for swimming pools. These use a large amount of water. Demand for some luxury items, such as swimming pools, is increasing in Uruguay. Demand for healthcare is also rising which is likely to increase the number of doctors in Uruguay. Table 1.1 shows the number of doctors per thousand people and life expectancy in selected countries.
Table 1.1 Number of doctors per thousand people and life expectancy in selected countries in 2023
countrydoctors (per 1000 people)life expectancy (years)
Angola0.262
Bangladesh0.874
Chad0.153
Indonesia0.768
New Zealand3.583
Uruguay6.279
In 2023, Uruguay experienced its lowest inflation rate for eighteen years. This low level of inflation encouraged investment in the country. It changed the international competitiveness of the country’s products against its main trading partners, which had higher inflation rates. It also had an impact on the cost of debt in the country and firms’ willingness to increase their output.
Prices change at different rates in different markets. In several markets in Uruguay, there is only one firm. All of Uruguay’s monopolies can set the price of the products they sell. Having monopoly power can also affect the firm’s average total cost and the quality of what they produce.
1(a)Budget Deficits Public DebtEasy1 mark
Calculate Uruguay’s government spending in US dollars in 2023.
1(b)Population Demographic ChangeEasy2 marks
Identify two reasons why the Uruguayan Government raised the retirement age.

Two answers required.

1(c)Supply Labour MobilityMedium2 marks
Explain why some Uruguayan workers emigrate to the US.

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1(d)Income Wealth InequalityHard4 marks
Explain two reasons why income inequality is lower in Uruguay than in the US.

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1(e)Market Equilibrium Price MechanismMedium4 marks
Draw a demand and supply diagram to show the effect of an increase in demand for swimming pools on the market for water.
PenEraserUndoRedoClear
Draw with the mouse or a finger.
1(f)Measuring Development Living StandardsHard5 marks
Analyse the relationship between the number of doctors and life expectancy.

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1(g)InflationHard6 marks
Discuss whether or not Uruguay’s low inflation rate would have benefited the Uruguayan economy.

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1(h)MonopolyHard6 marks
Discuss whether or not Uruguay’s consumers would benefit from more of its markets becoming monopolies.

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